Final Score: Yankees 5 - Rays 6
Monday, May 16, 2011 at 6:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
20-18 Rating 1564
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.1
Rays
23-17 Rating 1551
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 141 79
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.7 4.3
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 38 40
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.6
Win percentage 53% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 45%