Final Score: Phillies 5 - Nationals 4
Monday, May 30, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
33-20 Rating 1568
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Nationals
22-30 Rating 1433
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 382 334
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 53 52
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.4 4.2
Win percentage 62% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 52%