Final Score: Rays 14 - Astros 10
Sunday, June 26, 2011 at 2:05 PM ET

Rays @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
43-34 Rating 1551
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.8
Astros
28-50 Rating 1446
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Astros
All-time wins 5 6
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 3.7
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Astros
Games played 77 78
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.8 5.0
Win percentage 56% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 32%