Final Score: Mets 2 - Tigers 5
Thursday, June 30, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Mets @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
41-39 Rating 1490
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.4
Tigers
43-38 Rating 1512
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Tigers
All-time wins 8 6
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 6.9 6.0
Last meeting 16 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Tigers
Games played 80 81
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 51% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 60%