Final Score: Yankees 5 - Rays 4
Monday, July 18, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
55-37 Rating 1580
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.1
Rays
50-43 Rating 1545
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 144 81
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.7 4.3
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 92 93
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.9
Win percentage 60% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 49%