Final Score: Mets 5 - Padres 4
Monday, August 15, 2011 at 10:05 PM ET

Mets @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
58-62 Rating 1482
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
54-68 Rating 1479
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Padres
All-time wins 216 224
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 3.8
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Padres
Games played 120 122
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.9
Win percentage 48% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 39%