Final Score: Mets 7 - Nationals 8
Saturday, September 3, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
67-69 Rating 1487
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.2
Nationals
63-73 Rating 1448
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 369 349
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 136 136
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 49% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 56%