Final Score: Astros 3 - Nationals 6
Monday, April 16, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
4-5 Rating 1426
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.8
Nationals
7-3 Rating 1481
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 242 194
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 9 10
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 2.7
Win percentage 44% 70%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 75%