Final Score: Phillies 1 - Padres 5
Saturday, April 21, 2012 at 8:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
7-7 Rating 1563
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Padres
3-12 Rating 1459
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 244 196
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 14 15
Avg runs scored 2.9 3.3
Avg runs conceded 2.5 4.6
Win percentage 50% 20%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 22%