Final Score: Padres 11 - Mets 5
Thursday, May 24, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
16-29 Rating 1457
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.6
Mets
24-20 Rating 1490
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Mets
All-time wins 225 218
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.8 3.9
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Mets
Games played 45 44
Avg runs scored 3.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.8
Win percentage 36% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 24% 60%