Final Score: Rays 2 - Nationals 5
Thursday, June 21, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Rays @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
38-30 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.3
Nationals
39-27 Rating 1500
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Nationals
All-time wins 10 10
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Nationals
Games played 68 66
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.3
Win percentage 56% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 58%