Final Score: Astros 2 - Cubs 3
Saturday, June 30, 2012 at 4:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
32-45 Rating 1424
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
27-49 Rating 1442
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 304 264
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 77 76
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.7
Win percentage 42% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 46%