Final Score: Yankees 4 - Rays 3
Wednesday, July 4, 2012 at 3:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
48-32 Rating 1579
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.1
Rays
43-38 Rating 1546
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 154 95
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 80 81
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.1
Win percentage 60% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 57%