Final Score: Reds 6 - Padres 5
Saturday, July 7, 2012 at 10:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
45-38 Rating 1501
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Padres
34-51 Rating 1457
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 317 263
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 6 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 83 85
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.5
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.4
Win percentage 54% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 40%