Final Score: Mets 4 - Nationals 5
Tuesday, July 17, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
46-43 Rating 1491
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.4
Nationals
51-36 Rating 1505
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 372 358
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 89 87
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.4
Win percentage 52% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 60%