Final Score: Marlins 7 - Phillies 9
Tuesday, September 11, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
63-79 Rating 1461
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
70-71 Rating 1536
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 144 172
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 5.1
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 142 141
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.2
Win percentage 44% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 49%