Final Score: Yankees 11 - Blue Jays 4
Friday, September 28, 2012 at 7:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
90-66 Rating 1572
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.6
Blue Jays
69-87 Rating 1488
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 287 228
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.8
Win percentage 58% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 49%