Final Score: Reds 6 - Cubs 4
Saturday, May 4, 2013 at 1:05 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
16-14 Rating 1525
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.8
Cubs
11-18 Rating 1427
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 310 270
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.5
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 30 29
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.6
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.2
Win percentage 53% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 38%