Final Score: Phillies 7 - Marlins 3
Tuesday, May 21, 2013 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
21-24 Rating 1517
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Marlins
13-32 Rating 1430
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 180 149
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 45 45
Avg runs scored 3.5 2.7
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 47% 29%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 30%