Final Score: Cardinals 5 - Cubs 4
Sunday, May 4, 2014 at 8:05 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
15-16 Rating 1539
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.9
Cubs
11-17 Rating 1431
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 377 366
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 31 28
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.0
Win percentage 48% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 47%