Final Score: Cubs 5 - Padres 1
Thursday, May 22, 2014 at 10:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
16-28 Rating 1426
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Padres
21-26 Rating 1476
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 250 208
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 44 47
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.0
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.6
Win percentage 36% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 48%