Final Score: Marlins 2 - Cardinals 3
Friday, July 4, 2014 at 7:15 PM ET

Marlins @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
41-44 Rating 1452
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +1.2
Cardinals
46-40 Rating 1542
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cardinals
All-time wins 64 96
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.9 4.7
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cardinals
Games played 85 86
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.4
Win percentage 48% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 57%