Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Astros 5
Thursday, July 31, 2014 at 8:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
59-50 Rating 1513
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.9
Astros
44-64 Rating 1403
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Astros
All-time wins 7 9
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Astros
Games played 109 108
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.8
Win percentage 54% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 42%