Final Score: Nationals 10 - Padres 5
Sunday, May 17, 2015 at 4:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
21-17 Rating 1544
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.4
Padres
19-19 Rating 1484
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Padres
All-time wins 240 216
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 3.9
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Padres
Games played 38 38
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 55% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 53%