Final Score: Phillies 5 - Padres 3
Sunday, August 9, 2015 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
44-67 Rating 1454
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
52-59 Rating 1477
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 256 204
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 111 111
Avg runs scored 3.7 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 40% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 47%