Final Score: Phillies 3 - Marlins 4
Wednesday, September 23, 2015 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
57-94 Rating 1434
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Marlins
64-87 Rating 1451
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 207 166
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 151 151
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.2
Win percentage 38% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 47%