Final Score: Padres 7 - Cubs 4
Wednesday, May 11, 2016 at 1:05 PM ET

Padres @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
13-20 Rating 1459
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.3
Cubs
25-6 Rating 1558
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Cubs
All-time wins 215 257
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 7 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Cubs
Games played 33 31
Avg runs scored 3.7 6.2
Avg runs conceded 4.6 2.9
Win percentage 39% 81%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 80%