Final Score: Marlins 2 - Phillies 4
Wednesday, May 18, 2016 at 1:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
21-18 Rating 1474
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Phillies
23-17 Rating 1465
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 172 211
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.9
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 39 40
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.0
Win percentage 54% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 61%