Final Score: Yankees 6 - Padres 3
Sunday, July 3, 2016 at 4:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
39-41 Rating 1514
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.3
Padres
35-46 Rating 1459
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Padres
All-time wins 12 6
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 3.8
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Padres
Games played 80 81
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.0
Win percentage 49% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 45%