Final Score: Reds 4 - Cubs 10
Monday, July 4, 2016 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
30-53 Rating 1428
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.5
Cubs
51-30 Rating 1549
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 339 304
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 2 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 83 81
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.2
Avg runs conceded 6.0 3.4
Win percentage 36% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 69%