Final Score: Phillies 5 - Padres 4
Friday, August 5, 2016 at 10:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
50-60 Rating 1447
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
47-61 Rating 1460
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 262 206
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 110 108
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 45% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 48%