Final Score: Marlins 7 - Nationals 4
Friday, September 30, 2016 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
78-80 Rating 1470
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.9
Nationals
93-66 Rating 1535
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 206 183
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 158 159
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 49% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 62%