Final Score: Mets 4 - Nationals 11
Tuesday, July 4, 2017 at 11:05 AM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
38-44 Rating 1496
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.7
Nationals
49-34 Rating 1539
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 406 423
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.0
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 82 83
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.5
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.4
Win percentage 46% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 57%