Final Score: Marlins 4 - Phillies 3
Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 3:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
56-105 Rating 1402
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
81-80 Rating 1479
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 204 249
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 5.0
Last meeting 3 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.9
Win percentage 35% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 56%