Final Score: Phillies 6 - Nationals 2
Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
18-17 Rating 1485
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.5
Nationals
13-17 Rating 1514
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 452 437
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 12 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 35 30
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.2
Win percentage 51% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 50%