Final Score: Astros 4 - Guardians 3
Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 1:10 PM ET

Astros @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
51-33 Rating 1577
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Guardians
42-38 Rating 1520
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Guardians
All-time wins 34 38
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 3.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Guardians
Games played 84 80
Avg runs scored 5.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.5
Win percentage 61% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 54%