Final Score: Phillies 13 - Cubs 3
Monday, July 5, 2021 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
39-42 Rating 1484
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
42-42 Rating 1513
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 328 295
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 81 84
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.2
Win percentage 48% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 67%