Final Score: Phillies 9 - Nationals 5
Wednesday, August 4, 2021 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
54-53 Rating 1493
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.3
Nationals
49-58 Rating 1499
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 460 443
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 107 107
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 50% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 51%