Final Score: Astros 3 - Padres 4
Sunday, September 5, 2021 at 4:10 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
79-56 Rating 1568
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Padres
73-64 Rating 1498
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 317 292
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 2 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 135 137
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.1
Win percentage 59% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 58%