Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 13
Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
84-72 Rating 1509
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Nationals
54-102 Rating 1416
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 479 445
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.2
Win percentage 54% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 32%