Final Score: Phillies 8 - Nationals 1
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
85-73 Rating 1509
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Nationals
55-103 Rating 1416
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 480 446
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.2
Win percentage 54% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 32%