Final Score: Royals 5 - Padres 4
Tuesday, May 16, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET

Royals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
12-31 Rating 1419
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.2
Padres
20-22 Rating 1510
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Padres
All-time wins 7 12
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.7 5.3
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Padres
Games played 43 42
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.9
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.1
Win percentage 28% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 50%