Final Score: Nationals 4 - Marlins 5
Tuesday, May 16, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
18-23 Rating 1426
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
20-21 Rating 1456
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 245 252
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 41 41
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.4
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 44% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 50%