Final Score: Reds 8 - Nationals 4
Tuesday, July 4, 2023 at 11:05 AM ET

Reds @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
46-39 Rating 1481
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.4
Nationals
34-50 Rating 1422
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Nationals
All-time wins 263 238
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Nationals
Games played 85 84
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.2 5.0
Win percentage 54% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 32%