Final Score: Phillies 4 - Mets 11
Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 4:15 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
89-71 Rating 1538
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Mets
74-86 Rating 1499
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 462 477
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 56% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 53%