Final Score: Mets 6 - Marlins 5
Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 4:40 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
2-3 Rating 1528
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.4
Marlins
4-2 Rating 1458
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 286 242
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 3.9
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 5 6
Avg runs scored 3.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 2.8 4.3
Win percentage 40% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 67%