Final Score: Cubs 2 - Padres 4
Wednesday, April 16, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
12-8 Rating 1514
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
14-4 Rating 1558
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 287 241
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 20 18
Avg runs scored 6.1 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.2 2.7
Win percentage 60% 78%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 92%