Final Score: Cubs 4 - Astros 7
Friday, June 27, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
48-33 Rating 1527
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
48-33 Rating 1552
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 279 315
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 81 81
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.6
Win percentage 59% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 70%