Final Score: Yankees 5 - Blue Jays 12
Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 3:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
48-36 Rating 1545
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.1
Blue Jays
46-38 Rating 1515
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 400 329
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 84 84
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.4
Win percentage 57% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 62%