Final Score: Yankees 5 - Blue Jays 4
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 at 7:07 PM ET
Yankees @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 400 | 333 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Yankees | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 100 | 100 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 69% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 21
12-9
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
Blue Jays
vs New York Yankees
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Athletics
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Athletics
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Athletics
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4